Abortion, weed amendments in Florida don’t yet have enough votes: poll

Those who campaign for Recreational marijuana is legal And Abortion rights are guaranteed In Florida they have a lot of work to do.

Floridians will have the option to vote on it Both proposed constitutional amendments November this year. But for proposals to become the law of the land, they must receive at least 60% of the vote.

If a vote were held now, it is not certain it would pass, according to an exclusive USA TODAY/Ipsos poll.

Of the more than 1,000 adult Floridians surveyed, half said they would vote for an abortion ballot measure. This is 10 percentage points lower than required, but there are also 16% who indicated they are not registered to vote or are unsure of their position. A third say they will oppose this amendment.

Meanwhile, 49% of those surveyed said they would vote for the marijuana amendment, while 14% said they were unsure or not registered and 36% were against (1% skipped questions about both amendments).

And those pushing the amendments have to not only persuade voters, but also inform them in the coming months: Only half of Floridians told pollsters they are very or somewhat knowledgeable about the abortion procedure, and 54% said the same about the marijuana procedure.

The poll, which has a margin of error of 4.1%, was conducted April 5-7 and included 369 Republicans, 264 Democrats and 316 independents.

Details regarding the abortion procedure

Abortion modification (Amendment 4) will likely receive the most attention in Florida, especially after approval by the Florida Supreme Court Ban on abortion for six weeks Which will go into effect on May 1.

If Florida voters approve the Fourth Amendment, abortion access in the state would be guaranteed until fetal viability, or as long as the fetus can survive outside its mother’s womb, which is generally considered 24 weeks. It will also allow abortion when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the health care provider.

Floridians Protecting Freedom, the group leading the campaign for the amendment, has raised nearly $20 million so far from a range of abortion rights groups. The group was scheduled to officially launch its “Yes On 4” campaign on Saturday in Orlando.

Florida Republicans, including Gov. Ron DeSantis, came out strongly against the amendment. So will a number of prominent anti-abortion groups that will try to thwart the procedure this fall.

Opponents say the language is too vague and would lead to an unregulated abortion industry, but the amendment’s supporters dismiss those claims as “scare tactics.”

A majority of Democrats surveyed — 74% — expressed support for the abortion initiative, while 17% opposed and 9% were unsure or not registered to vote.

Independents were more divided: 52% said they supported it, but only 28% would vote against it. The fifth was unsure or not registered.

Meanwhile, 58% of Republicans, who outnumber Democrats in Florida by about 1 million voters, said they opposed such a measure, with just 34% in favor and 8% unsure or not registered.

In Florida, there are 5,243,299 Republicans, 4,351,265 Democrats, and 3,533,149 with no party affiliation. According to the latest numbers From the state elections department.

Signature Mosque in downtown Daytona Beach.  He was working for a recreational marijuana amendment that was rejected by the Florida Supreme Court in 2019.

More about marijuana

Measure marijuana (Amendment 3) Those over the age of 21 are allowed to consume up to 3 ounces of marijuana and up to 5 grams of cannabis concentrates.

The group Smart & Safe Florida, which is leading the amendment campaign, has raised nearly $55 million so far. Most of that amount was already spent collecting enough signatures to get the measure on the ballot, and most of that came from Trulieve, the state’s largest medical marijuana operator. Other state medical marijuana companies are starting to make millions, too.

Once again, DeSantis and other top conservatives in the state oppose the measure. DeSantis said it could lead to heavy pot odors and charged that it was written so broadly that it would limit how the state regulates the industry.

This is something Smart & Safe Florida denies, saying that the Florida Constitution, the proposed amendment and Florida Supreme Court precedent make clear that the state can enact recreational marijuana regulations, including those that limit its use in public places.

But the group will have to convince more people, including Democrats, according to USA TODAY/Ipsos data.

A quarter of Democrats opposed a marijuana ballot measure, 64% were in favor, and 10% were unsure or not registered. Meanwhile, 38% of Republicans indicated they would vote yes, while 58% said they were against, and 4% were unsure or not registered.

52% of independents say they support this, while 33% went the other way, and 15% are not registered or unsure.

Note: There are approximately seven months left until Election Day, which is November 5.

Douglas Soule can be reached at DSoule@gannett.com.

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