2024 U.S. Open odds, predictions, picks: Scottie Scheffler projection by golf model that hit last 2 majors

Scottie Scheffler picked up his fifth win of the 2024 PGA Tour season on Sunday when he edged Collin Morikawa by a shot in the Memorial Tournament. Schaeffler has placed himself at the top of the Official World Golf Rankings, but he will look to continue one of the most historic seasons in recent memory with a win at the 2024 US Open. Play begins Thursday on Course No. 2 at Pinehurst Resort in North Carolina, and Schaeffler will look to Continuing a three-month period in which he achieved five wins, two runners-up and an eighth-place finish in eight starts.

He’s listed as the 11-4 favorite in the 2024 US Open odds, followed by Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Bryson DeChambeau, who are all at 10-1. Other contenders for the 2024 US Open include Viktor Hovland (12-1), Ludwig Aberg (14-1), Morikawa (14-1) and Brooks Koepka (20-1). Before you lock in your 2024 US Open picks or back Scottie Scheffler, make sure See golf predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

Our proprietary model, designed by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been extremely hot since the PGA Tour restarted in June of 2020. In fact, the model has made nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, hitting tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scottie Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet came in at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets made nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted that Jon Rahm would win the 2023 Sentry and The American Express Tournament of Champions. At the 2023 Masters, the crossbar secured Rahm’s second major victory of his career before the weekend. Rahm was two strokes away from the lead heading into the third round, but the model still expected him to be the winner. It was the second consecutive Masters win for this model, which also netted Schaeffler a win in 2022.

This same model has also notched a whopping 12 majors entering the weekend, including three straight Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the field for the 2024 US Open taking shape, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results are surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboard.

The most important predictions for the US Open 2024

One big surprise: Justin Thomas, a 35-1 long shot, has a solid lead on the title. It’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 31-year-old is a 15-time PGA Tour winner with two major championships to his name and was also the world’s No. 1 points player in 2018 and 2020.

He is coming off the worst season of his career in 2022-23, missing the FedEx Cup playoffs entirely. However, he has bounced back with six top-12 finishes in 2024, including an eighth-place finish at the 2024 PGA Championship last month. Thomas missed the match at the 2014 US Open at Pinehurst while playing as an amateur, but knowledge of that course can come in handy and he has re-established himself as one of the best ball strikers in the world, ranking seventh on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach ( 0.697).

The model also checked where Scottie Scheffler ends up. Scheffler entered Sunday’s Memorial Championship with a four-shot lead and the favorite to win his fifth PGA Tour event of the season. He won the 2024 Masters by four shots, and is on the cusp of winning his first US Open over the past three seasons, having three times finished in the top 10 at the national championship.

Scheffler ranks fifth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: off the tee, on the approach, and around the green, but the striped putter has been the one element of his game that sometimes holds him back. He ranks 75th on the Tour in strokes gained: putting (0.100) and strokes lost against the field on greens in three of his first four seasons on the PGA Tour. The form just closed on Scottie Scheffler’s US Open selections here..

How to make 2024 US Open picks

The model also targets other golfers with odds of 20-1 or more to make a strong shot at the title. Anyone who supports these long-term goals can achieve great success. You can only see the form choices here.

Who will win the 2024 US Open, and what long shots will stun the golf world? Check out the 2024 US Open odds below and then Visit SportsLine to see the projected US Open leaderboard, all from the model that has captured 12 major golf championships, including the last three Masters and a PGA Championship.

2024 US Open odds, field

Get your 2024 US Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scotty Scheffler 11-4
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Xander Scheufele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Ludwig Aberg 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Jon Rahm 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 28-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
True Thegala 45-1
Tom Kim 45-1
Tony Finau 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Sungjae Im 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrell Hutton 50-1
Si Woo Kim 55-1
Will Zalatoris 55-1
Shane Lowry 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Dean Burmeister 60-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Byeong Hun An 70-1
Brian Harman 75-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Sepp Straka 90-1
Stefan Geiger 90-1
David Puig 90-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Adrian Meronek 90-1
Jake Knapp 100-1
Justin Rose 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Arun Ray 100-1
Nikolai Hoggard 100-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Eric Cole 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Tom McKibben 125-1
Akshay Bhatia 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Christian Bezuidenhout 125-1
Austin Ecroat 150-1
Victor Perez 150-1
Taylor Pendrith 150-1
Daniel Berger 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Cameron Davis 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Taylor Moore 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Tom Hogue 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Eugenio Chakara 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Eric van Rooyen 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Curt Kitayama 200-1
Rekoya Hoshino 200-1
GT Boston 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Lucas Glover 200-1
Sheamus Power 225-1
Grant Forrest 225-1
Adam Svensson 225-1
Davis Thompson 225-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Mark Hubbard 250-1
Matteo Pavone 250-1
Richard Mansell 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Grayson Sage 250-1
Ben Kuhls 300-1
Brendon Todd 300-1
Team Wedding 300-1
Sam Bairstow 300-1
Peter Malnati 300-1
Sam Bennett 300-1
Matteo Manassero 300-1
Gordon Sargent 300-1
Jason Scrivener 300-1
Justin Lohr 350-1
Casey Jarvis 350-1
Chaisson Hadley 350-1
Nicholas Echavarría 350-1
Nick Dunlap 350-1
Zach Blair 350-1
Frankie Caban III 400-1
Max Griserman 400-1
Matt Kuchar 400-1
SH Chem 400-1
Robert Rock 400-1
Chris Beatfish 400-1
Ricoh Huey 400-1
Wells Williams 500-1
Songkang 500-1
Charles Reiter 500-1
Federik Kjtrup 500-1
Ashton McCulloch 500-1
Ryo Ishikawa 500-1
Isaiah Salinda 500-1
McClure Meissner 500-1
Brandon Wu 500-1
Jackson Buchanan 500-1
Michael McGowan 500-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Brian Campbell 500-1
Logan McAllister 500-1
Carson Shakey 500-1
John Chen 500-1
Benjamin James 500-1
Omar Morales is 500-1
Luke Clanton 500-1
Neil Shipley 500-1
Gunnar Bruin 500-1
Stuart Hagestad 500-1
Carter Jenkins 500-1
Francesco Molinari 500-1
Brandon Robinson Thompson 500-1
Taisei Shimizu 500-1
Chris Nigel 500-1
Willie Mack III 500-1
Hiroshi Tai 500-1
Parker Bell 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Colin Prater 500-1
Andrew Svoboda 500-1
Brian Kim 500-1
Santiago de la Fuente 500-1
Riki Kawamoto 500-1
Joey Vrzic 500-1
Edoardo Molinari 500-1
Martin Kaymer 750-1

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